Nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations No more rate cuts coming next Rate hike expectations are starting to rise The market has likely fallen these past two days due to these expectations $BTC The crypto market is currently suppressed by bearish news Spot BTC ETFs have seen outflows for several consecutive days, with cumulative outflows exceeding $4 billion since May 15, about $1.4 billion outflow this week There were also massive liquidations in the past 24 hours, totaling about $1.76 billion, with around 1.8 billion people liquidated Just holding on!

Another 180,000 existing retail investors in the crypto space are facing exit $BTC $ETH

#Nonfarm Tonight's nonfarm payrolls are a crucial checkpoint to test the strength of U.S. employment growth since the beginning of the year. However, tonight's nonfarm data is basically expected to be bearish. Currently, market expectations are centered around 8.5 million, consistent with the forecast. Recent data showed ADP private sector employment increased by 122,000, described as a rare broader hiring in recent years; the market is reluctant to bet on significantly lower-than-expected nonfarm data. JOLTS data showed job openings jumped to 7.618 million in April. Initial jobless claims also rose to a four-month high. These data points make the market more worried that tonight's figures could be more pessimistic than expected. Another factor is wages: the market expects average hourly earnings to rise 0.3% monthly and 3.4% annually. If both employment and wages are strong, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will rise, suppressing other risk assets like gold and BTC. Summary: If tonight's data is stronger than expected, it will likely suppress rate cut expectations, which is unfavorable for crypto rebounds; if weaker, it may provide a repair window for risk assets but must be accompanied by the market reclaiming key structural levels.

#Nonfarm payroll data will be released today: expected 85,000 Tonight's nonfarm payroll is an important milestone to test the strength of US employment growth since the beginning of the year But tonight's nonfarm payroll is basically confirmed to be bearish The market expectation is basically centered around 85,000, consistent with the forecast Recent data showed ADP private sector employment increased by 122,000, described as a rare broader hiring in recent years, and the market is reluctant to bet on significantly lower-than-expected nonfarm payroll data JOLTS data showed job openings jumped to 7.618 million in April Initial jobless claims also rose to a four-month high These data make the market more worried that tonight's data will be more pessimistic than expected Another factor is wages; the market expects average hourly earnings monthly rate at 0.3% and annual rate at 3.4%. If employment and wages are both strong, the US dollar and Treasury yields will rise, suppressing other risk assets like gold and BTC Summary: If tonight's data is stronger than expected, it will likely suppress rate cut expectations, which is unfavorable for crypto rebound; if weaker, it may provide a repair window for risk assets but must be accompanied by the market retaking key structural levels. $BTC $ETH

On Tuesday, a friend told me that there is a person called Xingchen on Square and Planet who is amazing at leading trades. He said he has been consistently making profits, and the last few accounts he managed have already reached tens of millions of U. He even showed me the trade profit details, which were indeed impressive. But unexpectedly, today there was such a big drawdown. The smallest account had a 31% drawdown, and the other two had 54% and 62% drawdowns respectively. With this drawdown rate, it’s basically a break-even situation. Heavy positions win, heavy positions lose. The earlier profits were indeed impressive, but this lack of drawdown control means he’s still just a gambler. Maybe the profits came from hitting a good rhythm during that period, but one wrong move and it’s back to zero. In summary: having the ability to make money is important, but so is the ability to hold on. Controlling drawdowns is something that needs to be optimized at every stage.

Now is the best time to buy stocks related to humanoid robots This is a visible trend ​​​ Just focus on Yushi-related stocks domestically #人形机器人

Now is the best time to buy stocks related to humanoid robots This is a visible trend ​​​ Just focus on Yushi-related stocks domestically #HumanoidRobots

The Trump family is doing swing trading Currently in the shorting phase of crude oil Because Trump is about to announce friendly negotiations with Iran and may eventually reach an agreement So, this is a bullish situation, bearish for crude oil 👆🏻 is a joke and teasing In fact, since the last ceasefire memorandum between Iran and the US Trump actually hasn't made a statement Due to local skirmishes between Israel and Lebanon and minor clashes between Iranian drones and some US military bases This has caused a recent rebound in crude oil from the lows This rebound just happened to hit the CME crude oil gap (around $96) But yesterday, Trump said in an interview that negotiations with Iran have not ended and may even reach an agreement This is an early signal release Next, negotiations will basically start around the ceasefire agreement Here, you need to choose a high position in advance to set up a swing short From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart has been fluctuating within the 120-80 range Within this range, the trend is downward If this decline does not result in a definitive ceasefire agreement in the short term Attention should be paid to order support near 91 (note price differences across platforms) If a definitive ceasefire agreement is reached, the price will break below last week's low You can expect prices in the 80-85 range $CL

Macro Assets Recently, there have been waves of fluctuations following the news Crude oil has reached a short-term opportunity for short selling Today, Trump's interview statement: negotiations with Iran are still ongoing This signals a positive fundamental outlook for the upcoming days of negotiations Coincidentally, the previous gap has also been filled This is a good short-term shorting point The target will be gradually seen around 92-85 $CL

Yesterday I reminded about the major positive catalyst for US stock $MRVL The price action after the evening open did not disappoint After-hours price continued to hit new highs, reaching around 340 I'm very happy that yesterday, along with like-minded brothers, we could catch the gains in the short term However, today's after-hours rise above 340 is overbought Short-term, I no longer recommend chasing higher The market predicts the trillion-dollar milestone will be reached in about 5 years Short-term sentiment feels like the trillion-dollar market cap could be reached as soon as tomorrow. Be sure to take profits! #MRVL #JensenHuangCatalyst! Marvell stock price soars